Hedging Wind Power Risk Exposure through Weather Derivatives

نویسندگان

چکیده

We introduce the industrial portfolio of a wind farm hypothetical company and its valuation consistent with financial market. Next, we propose static risk management policy originating from hedging against volumetric due to drops in intensity discuss consequences. The effectiveness firstly requires adequate modeling calibration an extensive knowledge these atypical (commodity) markets. In this experiment, find significant benefits for weather-sensitive companies, which can lead new business opportunities. provide econometrics approach derive weather exposure typical farm. Our results show how accurate have real benefit on corporate revenues. Specifically, apply spot market price simulation (SMaPS) model electricity. parameters are calibrated using prices French day-ahead market, historical series total hourly load is used as final consumption. analyze speed relationship electricity prices. As our main contribution, demonstrate effects strategy collar options implemented satisfy demand at specific time. Regarding hedged portfolio, observe that “worst value” increases considerably while earnings-at-risk (EaR) decreases. consider only management, thus neglecting associated volatility, allowing us conclude operation provides substantial terms worst-case scenario.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Energies

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1996-1073']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en15041343